Hey everyone,
I am a financial analyst and look at this whole crypto stuff from my perspective.
I was wondering about the valuation of tokens. I think there are several categories and I differentiate them in protocol tokens that are basically the fuel for their own network (like ETH, BTC, NEO as this is strongly related to GAS) and Asset Tokens that are just Assets like ERC20 that use a token function on other blockchains (like TenX, or almost all ERC20 tokens that will not be exchanged into network tokens).
When looking for high returns, we are actually looking at possible network effects (exponential growth). My thoughts about this topic is:
- Protocol Tokens ofc enjoy network effects as they are networks by themselves. The value of BTC or ETH increases exponentially with its user base
- Asset Tokens or any tokenized value (let it be a car or a burger voucher) generally do not offer a bigger value than their underlying asset or good that they represent. If you are not investing in a token of a company that is growing exponentially like an internet company, there is no exponential rise in value.
My conclusion is that it seldom makes sense to invest in ERC20 Tokens if you are looking for exponential returns in the long run. What do you think?
Why are ERC20 Tokens increasing so much in value if there is actually no underlying exponential growth? Where is my mistake?